Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the La Liga match.
Both Leganés and Osasuna were unable to pull off upsets in their recent encounters with title contenders Barcelona and Real Madrid, respectively, suffering expected defeats. As they prepare to face each other in round 30, two sides from the lower half of the standings are likely to adopt a cautious approach, with both looking to gather crucial points in their battle to avoid relegation.
Leganés
Since their Copa del Rey elimination by Real Madrid (2:3), Leganés have managed to pick up just four points across seven La Liga matches. The top-flight newcomers remain stuck in the relegation zone following a run of three straight losses. With only 28 goals scored in 29 matches, they possess the second-worst attacking record in the division. In their last five home fixtures, Total Under 2.5 goals has landed three times, and the team’s combined xG stands at 5.66 — with only four teams producing fewer attacking statistics.
Osasuna
Osasuna’s poor run of form has dashed any remaining ambitions of European qualification. A goalless draw against Athletic Club may appear respectable on paper but extended their winless run in the league to eight matches. Since mid-November, the team has recorded just one La Liga victory. In 2025, Osasuna found the net only 10 times (13.51 xG), a total bettered only by bottom-placed Real Valladolid.
Leganés vs Osasuna Prediction
The reverse fixture on the opening weekend of the season finished 1:1. As round 30 wraps up on Monday, this match looks set to be low on goalmouth action once again.