Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the La Liga match.
Leganés have demonstrated solid resilience at their home ground, Butarque, where they've already defeated Sevilla (1:0) and Celta Vigo (3:0). On their turf, they are capable of putting up a fight against even formidable opponents like Real Madrid. The Madrid team need all three points to catch up with Barcelona—they cannot afford any missteps. However, the trip will be incredibly challenging for the favourites, who will be missing half of their regular starters.
Leganés
Leganés have avoided defeat in four of their last six home games. Moreover, they have consistently scored in six of their last seven matches. They play with great organisation, especially in defence at their home ground—allowing an average of just 0.66 goals per game. In 13 matches this season, Leganés have only lost by a margin of two goals or more three times.
Real Madrid
Real Madrid recently redeemed themselves for the El Clásico defeat by thrashing Osasuna (4:0). However, their overall play remains inconsistent, particularly on the road, where they have drawn three of their last five matches. The squad is plagued by injuries, with Thibaut Courtois, Lucas Vázquez, Dani Carvajal, David Alaba, Aurélien Tchouaméni, and Éder Militão all sidelined, and Rodrygo Goes not yet back in form. It seems Real Madrid's defence will face difficulties. Even at full strength, they’ve conceded in four out of five away games. Vinícius Júnior remains the key offensive threat, but the rest of the attack, including Kylian Mbappé (six goals, three from penalties), hasn't always lived up to expectations.
Leganés vs Real Madrid Prediction
Leganés boast decent home statistics and have shown they can contain stronger opponents. Real Madrid are under pressure, especially after recent slip-ups. The visitors are likely to claim the three points, but a large-margin victory is unlikely. Considering the busy schedule and Leganés’s readiness to defend in an organised manner, we'll take a +1.5 handicap on Leganés.
