Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the La Liga match.
A strong late-season surge from Leganés, with just one defeat in its last five league fixtures, has kept its hopes of avoiding relegation alive. At home against a struggling Real Valladolid side that have failed to earn a point in several weeks, Leganés will be highly motivated.
Leganés
Two weeks ago, Leganés secured a crucial 3:2 victory over an out-of-form Espanyol side, narrowing the gap to Espanyol. Heading into the final round of the campaign, Leganés trail their direct rivals by two points and desperately need a win. Against Las Palmas (1:0), the team held on to an early lead provided by Dani Raba, despite the early substitution of Munir El Haddadi. It registered 1.56 xG while holding just 29% possession — a sign of its efficiency despite limited control. With the support of home fans, Leganés are expected to take vital points from Real Valladolid, who are anchored at the foot of the standings.
Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid's 1:0 defeat to Deportivo Alavés last Sunday marked its 11th straight loss. Over the last 18 matchdays, they have managed just one point. Defensive frailties have persisted, particularly away from home — since 23 February, Real Valladolid have conceded 25 goals in just six away matches. With four players sidelined through injury and little to play for in a failed season, the visitors are unlikely to pose much of a challenge in their final outing.
Leganés vs Real Valladolid Prediction
Leganés are expected to prevail in this decisive match. We’re backing them to find the back of the net against Real Valladolid, who lack both structure and intensity.