Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the La Liga match.
Leganés will look to rely on counterattacks to make up for their lack of attacking power. On the other hand, Sevilla will aim to impose their game and are likely to hold the initiative.
Leganés
Leganés have not been impressive in attack, averaging just one goal per game. Interestingly, they have shown an ability to capitalise on their chances, as evidenced in a recent match against Girona where their xG was only 0.33, yet they scored three goals. However, under Borja Jiménez, their defence makes numerous errors, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match, particularly struggling against high pressure on their half. In their last four matches, at least three goals have been scored consistently, and this could happen once again.
Sevilla
Sevilla concede an average of 1.4 goals per game, indicating some defensive issues. This is especially evident away from home, where their expected goals against (xGA) stands at 1.7. In attack, Sevilla have some weaknesses, with an average of just one goal per match, despite their xG being 1.3. However, forward Dodi Lukebakio is a standout, having already scored five goals in La Liga.
Leganés vs Sevilla Prediction
Given both teams' defensive instability and Leganés' tendency for high-scoring games in recent rounds, a bet on a total over 1.5 looks very probable.