Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the English Premier League match.
Liverpool dropped points in a match they should have won, letting Manchester City, under Pep Guardiola, get ahead. They need to catch up, and Bournemouth might face their wrath.
Liverpool
Liverpool's first slip-up was somewhat expected in their away match against AC Milan, but losing at home to Nottingham Forest (0:1) was a shock to everyone. Prior to that, Liverpool averaged 16 shots per game, and against Nottingham Forest, they almost met that quota with 14 (5 on target), but Mathew Ryan played outstandingly. However, the hosts didn't create many high-quality chances, as reflected in their 0.94 xG. The Champions League match against AC Milan was more lively, with an early goal conceded in the third minute, opening up the game. Eventually, the English side created 3.09 xG and took 23 shots. Additionally, the opposing team's primary goalkeeper got injured, making the three goals they scored seem logical.
Bournemouth
Bournemouth, on the other hand, should have at least drawn with Chelsea in the previous round. It was a miracle that they didn't concede. The players hit the woodwork twice, and in the 38th minute, Chelsea's goalkeeper, Robert Sánchez, saved Francisco Evanilson’s penalty. With stats like 19 (7) shots to 10 (3), and 1.78 xG to 0.78, they typically would win or at least earn points, but they ended up with nothing. Their finishing let them down.
Liverpool vs Bournemouth Prediction
In 9 of the last 10 matches between these teams, the total over 2.5 has been consistent, but that was during Jürgen Klopp’s era. Under Arne Slot, Liverpool seldom exceed two goals. This season, they faced lacklustre Manchester United and AC Milan. Even Bournemouth have a more reliable defence. They won’t suffer a second home defeat, but the midweek Champions League match will take its toll. There won't be many goals, especially since in four of Bournemouth's last five matches, there were no more than two goals.
