Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Championship match.
Derby County are currently no better than Luton Town, despite being five places higher in the standings. Both sides have recorded just one win and one draw in their last five league outings. Playing at home gives Luton Town a slight edge.
Luton Town
Top-five teams like Blackburn Rovers dispatch Luton Town with ease. They secured a two-goal advantage in just nine minutes towards the end of the first half. In the second half, the visitors failed to score back (0:2). However, at Kenilworth Road, Luton Town transform into a different side, even more radically than Derby County. Compared to their 1-1-8 away record, they have a respectable 5-3-3 home track record, placing them eighth in the home table. Luton Town even defeated Watford (3:0), who are in the hunt for promotion.
Derby County
Similar to Luton, Derby perform noticeably better at home than away. In the last round, they crushed an ascending Portsmouth side (4:0) on home turf, but on the road, victories have come only against mid-table Coventry City (2:1). Derby struggle with scoring on their travels, having netted just nine goals in 11 away matches.
Luton Town vs Derby County Prediction
Looking at the recent head-to-head history, Luton have won their last three home matches against Derby. While one might consider backing the hosts for an outright win, we'll opt for a more secure bet.
