Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Nations League match.
As the final stretch of the Nations League group stage approaches, both Luxembourg and Bulgaria have a chance at promotion, though they trail behind Belarus and Northern Ireland. A month ago, the teams delivered a lacklustre performance that ended in a goalless draw, extending their record of low-scoring encounters in head-to-head matches.
Luxembourg
In 2024, Luxembourg managed just one victory in eight matches, defeating Kazakhstan in a friendly in March (2:1). Since their June training camp, they have embarked on a goalless streak, failing to score in five consecutive games. Against Belarus (1:1) in the previous round, Luxembourg were fortunate to convert a late penalty, but their lacklustre attacking play remains a concern.
Bulgaria
In the same tally of eight matches this year, Bulgaria have surpassed a total over 2.5 only once, which occurred last month in their away game against Northern Ireland (0:5). In Belfast, they missed a penalty and managed to create just 0.45 xG with only one shot on target. Nikola Iliev persists with a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on a defensively oriented midfield pairing.
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Prediction
Since October 2017, Luxembourg and Bulgaria have drawn three times, seldom creating scoring opportunities (1:1, 0:0, and 0:0). In this crucial fixture for both sides, they are unlikely to take risks once more.
