Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the French Ligue 1 match.
Following a 0:2 defeat to Monaco, Lyon's management listed all first-team players for transfer due to financial fair play concerns. Strasbourg might seize the opportunity presented by their opponent's crisis, although bookmakers have still pegged the hosts as favourites—Lyon boast several top-tier players.
Lyon
Defensive issues for Lyon were apparent even during preseason, where they conceded five goals in six matches. In the two Ligue 1 rounds, they allowed 5.18 xGA, ranking fourth from the bottom. Against Monaco, Lyon didn't create many dangerous chances and could have conceded more than two goals, considering the opponent took 15 shots with 68% possession. Notably, forward Ernest Nuamah sustained an injury, but the forward duo of Georges Mikautadze and Alexandre Lacazette is expected to generate numerous dangerous opportunities.
Strasbourg
During the offseason, Strasbourg performed even worse, recording two draws and six losses in eight matches. Therefore, their draw with Montpellier (1:1) and victory over Rennes (3:1) at the start of the season were surprising results. The secret to their success is simple: they scored more than they created (four goals from 2.69 xG) and conceded fewer than they allowed (two goals against with 2.85 xGA). This mid-table side won't continue to have such luck, but the goal-scoring trend in their matches is likely to persist.
Lyon - Strasbourg Prediction
Since October 2020, Lyon and Strasbourg have scored at least three goals in six out of eight meetings. The upcoming match is expected to be high-scoring, as indicated by the current form and advanced statistics.
