Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Indian Wells Masters match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has reached the finals in his last two tournaments. He is in strong form, although emotional burnout might affect his performance. Meanwhile, Mackenzie McDonald has been competing in Challenger events to regain his ranking. However, he remains a level below the Spaniard.
Mackenzie McDonald
The American was once ranked in the top 50 but has struggled over the past two years, falling to 109th. His 2025 season on hard courts has been underwhelming, with only three wins in eight matches. All his victories have come against opponents outside the top 100. His most recent tournament was a Challenger event in San Diego, where he reached the final but was defeated. In addition, he has lost five of his last six encounters against top-50 opponents. Three of these losses were in straight sets.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
In 2025, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 13 of his 18 matches. He has won eight of ten matches on hard courts. He reached consecutive finals in Delray Beach and Acapulco but narrowly lost both. In Delray Beach, he lost the final set despite having led. In Acapulco, he was defeated by Tomas Machac after a first set tiebreak. The Spaniard has performed effectively against players ranked outside the top 40. He has won his last five hard-court matches against such opponents.