Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Australian Open match.
Iga Świątek is striving to reclaim the world number one ranking, and to achieve that, she needs to capture the title in Melbourne. The Polish tennis star has confidently navigated through the earlier rounds, leaving her opponents with little chance, and now she has the opportunity to reach the Australian Open final for the first time. Meanwhile, Madison Keys is enjoying a fantastic run, having already secured a title in Adelaide. The American has returned to the world's top 10 and is eager to make it to the final after two unsuccessful attempts at this tournament in the past.
Madison Keys
The American is showcasing her best tennis in 2025. Her hard-court record this season stands at 11-1, and she has defeated four top-20 players in Melbourne. Her victory over seventh-ranked Elena Rybakina (6:3, 7:5) was particularly impressive, with Keys hitting 26 winners and winning 73% of points on her first serve. In this tournament, Madison stands out due to her powerful serve (averaging seven aces per match) and aggressive forehand. Against top-10 opponents, she is faring well, having secured victories in four out of five encounters.
Iga Świątek
Świątek is at the peak of her performance. The Pole has won nine of her last ten matches in Australia and hasn't conceded more than three games in a set at this tournament, apart from her opening match against Kateřina Siniaková (6:3, 6:4). Iga has shown she's ready to dominate both on her serve and return, winning 80% of points on her first serve and 68% on her second.
Madison Keys vs Iga Świątek Prediction
Świątek is the favourite due to her consistency and versatility. However, Keys possesses enough power and experience to challenge the world number two. The American is in superb form and will undoubtedly put up a fight. Therefore, we are taking the total over 18.5.
