Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Stuttgart match.
For Jan-Lennard Struff, this match marks the beginning of his home campaign on grass. His season to date has been disappointing, with few wins and the real danger of slipping out of the top 100. However, Stuttgart has often served as a turning point for him. After a string of poor results on hard and clay courts, a return to grass—his favoured surface—could prove crucial.
Matteo Arnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi has yet to establish himself as a consistent performer on grass. In the past two years, he has played just seven matches on the surface, winning four. The strongest opponent he has beaten during that spell was Ugo Humbert (No. 21), while the others were outside the top 50. Arnaldi possesses an aggressive baseline game and a powerful serve, but playing on grass also requires quicker reactions and more assurance at the net—areas where he still lacks stability.
Jan-Lennard Struff
Despite his overall struggles this season, Jan-Lennard Struff remains a dangerous player on fast courts. In the past two years, he has won 11 of his 15 grass-court matches. In Stuttgart, he has claimed victory in six of his last seven appearances, including a run to the final in 2023. Though his record this season stands at just 4 wins from 18 matches, he continues to serve well—winning 72% of points on his first delivery—and averages 7.7 aces per match.
Matteo Arnaldi vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction
Matteo Arnaldi has the ability to take a set, but over the course of the match, Jan-Lennard Struff should have the edge. The pair have met twice before, with both matches going to three sets. This encounter is also expected to feature at least 23 games.
