Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Championship match.
Middlesbrough have almost made it to the playoff zone several times, only to stumble at the next hurdle. Meanwhile, Sheffield United risk dropping out of the top six should they lose this encounter, making it a genuine six-pointer.
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough have developed a recent trend over the last seven rounds—playing total under 2.5. Watford, who dislike low-scoring affairs, bucked that trend with their 2:1 home victory. However, low goal output doesn't always favour the team, who are notorious for squandering chances, boasting a -8.43 xGDiff. In their latest round against Bristol City, 20 shots and 1.60 xG caused no real damage as they failed to hit the woodwork more than twice.
Sheffield United
For two months, Sheffield United also focused on keeping games tight to avoid defeats, but their six-match clean sheet streak was cut short by Leeds United, from whom it's nearly impossible to escape unscathed at Elland Road—resulting in a 0:2 loss. They had virtually no prospects other than a 0:0 draw in that match, managing only five shots, none on target, and a mere 0.20 xG.
Middlesbrough vs Sheffield United Prediction
The hosts boast an ineffective attack but a solid defence (conceding 0.9 goals per game), while the visitors are not much better up front (1.2 goals per game) but still maintain defensive prowess despite their recent blip (0.5 goals per game). The importance of securing points adds weight to the expectation of a highly low-scoring match.
