Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Segunda División match.
The opening leg of this semi-final tie delivered a surprisingly high-scoring affair, ending 3:3. Neither side held back in Santander, resulting in fast-paced, attacking football and a dramatic comeback from the hosts, who rallied from 1:3 down.
Mirandés
In truth, Mirandés let a clear opportunity slip to gain the upper hand ahead of the return leg at home. Still, their unbeaten run now stretches to seven matches (five wins and two draws). In Santander, the team posted 1.97 xG and outshot their opponents (16-11), although the coaching staff likely expected more impact from substitutes Joel Roca, Alberto Baró and Julio Alonso. At home, Mirandés have been formidable, going 16 matches unbeaten, with the ‘both teams to score — yes’ bet landing in 10 of those.
Racing
Racing, for their part, are on a similarly productive run in front of goal — in eight of their last ten matches since early April, both teams scored. Their spirited 2:1 win over Granada secured a top-six finish, and they showed character again in the first leg, scoring twice in the final 20 minutes. Racing generated a solid 1.81 xG and are more than capable of hitting on the break in the return leg.
Mirandés vs Racing Prediction
The two sides have now shared nine goals across their 2025 encounters (2:1 and 3:3), and with plenty of attacking intent still in the tank, it’s hard to look past both teams scoring again.