Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Serie A match.
Midweek saw both Monza and AC Milan fail to collect points in their respective matches, worsening their standings. It's clear that the runner-up will seize the initiative against the underdog, who have kept only one clean sheet in 10 league matches.
Monza
Against Atalanta (0:2), Monza were overly passive—especially late on, when the Bergamo side secured victory (0.11 vs 1.15 in xG and 4-16 in shots). With injuries to key players like Stefano Sensi, Andrea Petagna, Roberto Gagliardini, and Alessio Cragno, the coaching staff is left with few experienced options, forcing the coach to rely on inexperienced youths against Champions League-level opponents. Monza have produced a mere 6.11 xG over 10 games—the worst record in Serie A by a margin.
AC Milan
AC Milan, in contrast, rank in the top four in expected goals (17.53 with 16 actually scored). Against Napoli (0:2), they didn't show their best due to the suspensions of Theo Hernándezand and Tijjani Reijnders, both set to return for Saturday's match. Next week, AC Milan face a trip to Real Madrid, making a weekend win crucial to avoid increased pressure on the manager.
Monza vs AC Milan Prediction
Since Monza's promotion to Serie A, AC Milan have won three out of four head-to-head encounters, and also outperformed in an August friendly (3:1). The more organised visitors will take the win on Saturday.
