Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Ligue 1 match.
A commanding Ligue 1 campaign is propelling Paris Saint-Germain towards their long-anticipated Champions League breakthrough. With the first leg of their semi-final against Arsenal just a week away, this relatively straightforward clash with Nantes offers a prime opportunity for the squad’s fringe players to build match sharpness, as Luis Enrique is likely to rest several key starters and test new tactical setups.
Nantes
Since the start of 2025, Nantes have kept a clean sheet in just one of their 15 matches across all competitions. Following the international break, they suffered defeats to Le Havre (2:3) and Rennes (1:2), conceding a combined 7.01 in expected goals against (xGA). Even less threatening opponents have consistently created high-quality chances against them. On home soil, Nantes have earned just 16 points from 13 matches — only Angers (14), Montpellier (12), and Le Havre (10) have fewer.
Paris Saint-Germain
The 2:3 away defeat to Aston Villa did not prompt Paris Saint-Germain’s coaching staff to revise their tactical approach. On Saturday, the team eased past Le Havre 2:1, generating 3.03 xG and dominating possession with 70%. Over the course of the current Ligue 1 campaign, PSG have accumulated 88.96 xG and remain unbeaten with five rounds remaining, edging closer to a landmark season.
Nantes vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction
Before the 1:1 draw in the reverse fixture earlier this season, Paris Saint-Germain had defeated Nantes in five consecutive head-to-head encounters with a combined score of 15:3. On the underdog’s ground, the reigning champions are expected to be clinical with their chances — we’re backing them to win with a handicap.
