Adam Williams presents his prediction for the NHL match.
The Washington Capitals have built a comfortable lead atop the Eastern Conference, meaning their recent three-game losing streak hasn’t significantly affected their standing. The New York Rangers, however, don’t have such an advantage. In the battle for a playoff spot, every win is crucial.
New York Rangers
The Rangers’ success is largely dependent on their top-six forwards, and right now, they’re delivering. Over their last 10 games, the Rangers have converted 12.87% of their shots into goals (seventh-best in the NHL) and are averaging 3.5 goals per game. Forward J.T. Miller (16+33) has found his rhythm since returning, tallying 10 points in his last six games.
Washington Capitals
For a team contending at the top, the Capitals have been conceding too many goals lately. Since the Four Nations Tournament break, they have allowed 21 goals in six games. A significant part of the problem lies in goaltending—Logan Thompson posted just an 88.1% save percentage in February. Their recent game against the Ottawa Senators (5:4 SO) was one of their worst defensive performances of the season, conceding 5.52 xG and allowing 19 high-danger scoring chances.
New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals Prediction
Even during their struggles earlier this season, the Rangers managed to score three goals against the Capitals (3:5) and followed up with four in January. With the Capitals’ current defensive struggles, backing the Rangers to score at least three goals looks like a solid choice.