Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Paris Masters match.
Carlos Alcaraz, the world's number two, returns to official competition at the Paris Masters, facing 29-year-old Chilean Nicolas Jarry as his first opponent. In their last encounter in February on the clay courts of Buenos Aires, Jarry surprised the tennis world by defeating Alcaraz (7:6, 6:3). This time, the Spaniard will be eager for revenge, especially indoors, where his style becomes even more aggressive and dazzling.
Nicolas Jarry
Jarry has had an inconsistent season: he impressed during the first half, reaching notable performances in major tournaments, including the final at the Rome Masters, but his form dipped mid-year with just three wins in his last 14 matches. However, in Paris, he managed to overcome Lorenzo Sonego (7:6, 6:3), though it was a tough match as Sonego failed to convert eight break points. Besides his win in Buenos Aires, the Chilean has two losses against Alcaraz in their head-to-head record, but has consistently taken at least one set in each encounter (1:3, 1:2).
Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz recently showcased a high level at an exhibition tournament in Saudi Arabia, reaching the final before falling to the current world number one, Jannik Sinner. Overall, the season has been successful for Alcaraz, with titles at Wimbledon, the French Open, silver medals at the Paris Olympics, and victories at events in Beijing and Indian Wells. Although his record on indoor courts isn’t exceptional (23-10), Alcaraz is entering this match after a successful hard court run in Beijing and Shanghai.
Nicolas Jarry vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Jarry could pose a significant challenge for Alcaraz in this meeting, especially with the Spaniard returning from a brief break for his first official match. Expect a closely contested battle. We suggest betting on a total over 19.5, as Jarry has the potential to hold serve, which could result in extended sets and possibly a tie-break.