Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Championship match.
Portsmouth secured a crucial victory over a fellow relegation contender in the previous round. But can they stay on a positive trajectory against Oxford United, who sit just two places above them in the table?
Oxford United
Oxford United played out a goalless draw against Derby County on 11 February, marking their second clean-sheet draw in three away matches. While they often struggle to break free on the road, the Kassam Stadium tells a different story. At home, they deliver high-scoring matches, with goals at both ends. Over the last eight home matches, four have gone over 3.5 goals, proving their attacking intent in front of their own fans.
Portsmouth
Portsmouth edged out Cardiff City (2:1) in round 32, a result that was typical of their home performances. However, their away record paints a much darker picture. 40 of their 55 conceded goals have come on the road, making them one of the most vulnerable travelling sides in the league. In seven of their last eight away matches, over 2.5 Goals has landed. Additionally, six of their last eight matches overall have seen high goal totals.
Oxford United vs Portsmouth Prediction
Given Oxford’s attacking strength at home and Portsmouth’s defensive frailties away, an over 2.5 goals bet looks like the safest play. Additionally, Oxford have avoided defeat in their last five home matches, making a double chance on Oxford United a smart addition.
