Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Champions League match.
PSG's lethal attack is demolishing all opposition in the French league. A team as inconsistent as Girona is unlikely to contain the French side, which seems to have improved significantly without Kylian Mbappé. Now they are capable of attacking in multiple waves.
Paris Saint-Germain
In Ligue 1, Paris Saint-Germain have created 14.00 xG in just four matches—the second-best, Monaco, haven’t even reached ten (9.68). Notably, the team is also exceeding their chances created, scoring 16 goals, highlighting the quality of their players. On Saturday, PSG secured a 3:1 victory against Stade Brest, producing a significant difference in expected goals against another Champions League participant (2.87 vs 0.93).
Girona
Girona, after two clean sheet victories, collapsed in the Catalan derby against Barcelona (1:4). Reflecting on their loss to Atletico Madrid (0:3), it's clear that the Spain side conceded a combined 3.39 xGA from two top opponents. They allowed 20 shots from Barcelona—highlighting how their slow defence, led by veteran Daley Blind, struggles against swift opponents.
Paris Saint-Germain vs Girona Prediction
Matvey Safonov's potential debut for PSG should be straightforward, as Girona in their current form don't pose a significant threat. Not to forget, PSG face a challenging upcoming schedule, so they won’t drop points in this relatively easier fixture.