Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Ligue 1 match.
Last weekend, Paris Saint-Germain secured a crucial lead in the race for the top of the table, defeating Olympique de Marseille (3:0) at the Stade Vélodrome. Heading into the match against the championship front-runners, Lens find themselves not in the best form, having secured just one win in their last five rounds.
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG's formidable attack appears to remain strong even after parting ways with Kylian Mbappé—the team have netted 28 goals in nine matches, with 28.66 xG indicating they have created even more opportunities. At Marseille, the Parisian side once again opted out of a traditional striker, deploying Lee Kang-in as a false nine, and their dominance in chances was overwhelming (2.98 vs 0.22 in xG). It's crucial for Paris Saint-Germain to solidify their first-place standing before returning to the Champions League duties.
Lens
The high density in the standings forces Lens to take risks in Paris; otherwise, the club could slip into the middle tier without gaining any points. At home against Lille (0:2), their system crumbled following Przemyslaw Frankowski's injury, allowing the opposition to dominate possession and create more chances (1.05 vs 1.79 in xG). While Kevin Danso has returned to the squad, Ruben Aguilar, Jimmy Cabot, Hervé Koffi, Wesley Saïd, and Martín Satriano remain sidelined, limiting the coach's options across positions.
Paris Saint-Germain vs Lens Prediction
Since April 2023, PSG have secured three consecutive victories over Lens, each time by a two-goal margin (3:1, 3:1, and 2:0). It seems the current state of the teams offers Paris Saint-Germain another opportunity for a win.
