Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Ligue 1 match.
Despite setbacks in the Champions League group stage, Paris Saint-Germain are confidently leading the league, consistently creating an abundance of scoring opportunities. The home match for the Parisians against Toulouse will be no exception—while Toulouse have found decent form, their defence will struggle against the capital's stars.
Paris Saint-Germain
Thanks to Monaco's three-match winless streak, Paris Saint-Germain have extended their lead to six points. They boast a substantial gap from their pursuers in both actual goals scored (33) and advanced statistics (35.81 xG). In their away game against Angers (4:2), young talents Bradley Barcola (2+0) and Lee Kang-In (2+1) led the charge, achieving 3.34 expected goals.
Toulouse
A major issue for Toulouse is their loss of potential points—they rank in the top three in Ligue 1 for xPTS (20.57 with only 15 points earned). They had a great run, beating Montpellier (3:0), Reims (1:0), and Rennes (2:0), but their opponents weren't among the strongest. Against tougher teams like Marseille (1:3), Stade Brestois (0:2), Olympique lyonnais, and Lille (both 1:2), Toulouse failed to secure points. Away from home, they have earned only seven points in five matches (ninth in the league).
Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse Prediction
Since August 2017, Toulouse have suffered eight defeats against Paris Saint-Germain in 10 encounters. At home, PSG will defeat this mid-table side, which has struggled against top competition.
