Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Wimbledon match.
Pavel Kotov earned direct entry into the Wimbledon main draw last year, but this time he must navigate the qualifying rounds. He begins with a difficult opening match against Nicolas Jarry, a player he has never faced before.
Pavel Kotov
Pavel Kotov has struggled throughout 2025, losing 16 of his 23 matches so far and last securing a win in early April. He has suffered five consecutive first-round eliminations. His first-serve percentage is a modest 64%, with a 67% success rate on first-serve points. He is averaging three double faults per match this season. Grass has never been his strongest surface — since 2023, he has played only four matches on it, losing two.
Nicolas Jarry
While Nicolas Jarry is yet to hit top form, he has already recorded several grass-court wins in June, defeating Tristan Schoolkate, Luciano Darderi, and Learner Tien. He has advanced past the first round in three consecutive events. The Chilean’s powerful first serve has been effective on grass, where he wins an average of 72% of points behind it and delivers around 10 aces per match. He also holds a clear advantage in terms of grass-court experience, having played eight matches on the surface since 2023, winning four.
Pavel Kotov vs Nicolas Jarry Prediction
With his current form, Pavel Kotov is unlikely to take a set. Though not among the elite, Nicolas Jarry has produced more reliable results on grass this season and should be expected to win in straight sets.
