Adam Williams presents his prediction for the NHL match.
Unlike last season, when the Philadelphia Flyers fought for a playoff spot until the very end, they now only have a theoretical chance of making the postseason. On Friday night, they will face the highly motivated Tampa Bay Lightning, who are looking to bounce back after two straight defeats.
Philadelphia Flyers
The Flyers’ home stretch has been nothing short of disastrous: five consecutive regulation losses with a combined score of 8:22. The issues extend to both ends of the ice. Their goaltenders have struggled this month, posting a lowly .864 save percentage, while their finishing has been even worse, converting just 5.88% of shots— the lowest in the NHL. Their offensive struggles are best reflected in Travis Konecny’s form. The team’s top scorer (22+43) has managed just one goal in his last 19 outings.
Tampa Bay Lightning
The Lightning have been unusually wasteful in their recent games, failing to convert numerous chances in losses to the Boston Bruins (0:4) and the Carolina Hurricanes (1:4). Across those two matches, the Lightning generated 5 xG, but their finishing let them down, including 20 missed shots against the Hurricanes. However, this slump is unlikely to last—especially against the struggling Philadelphia Flyers. The Lightning boast three top scorers with 30+ goals this season, not including Nikita Kucherov (28+64). Brayden Point, Jake Guentzel, and Brandon Hagel all convert at a career-consistent 16% or higher.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction
Additionally, Andrei Vasilevskiy is hitting top form, posting a stellar .926 save percentage in 2025. Against a lifeless Flyers offence, he could secure the win single-handedly. Historically, when the Lightning win against the Flyers, they usually do so emphatically—scoring at least four goals in 10 of their last meetings.
