Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Major League Soccer match.
Philadelphia Union have consistently performed well at home, and in each of their last seven meetings with New York Red Bulls, they have conceded no more than one goal. Despite a relatively modest attacking return of 35 goals, Philadelphia Union have shown strong defensive organisation and rarely drop points on home soil. This fixture represents yet another away challenge for New York, who are dealing with player absences — a factor that significantly diminishes their prospects.
Philadelphia Union
The hosts have excelled at home, suffering just one defeat in ten matches at Subaru Park. That solitary loss came early in the campaign against Nashville SC, currently second in the MLS standings. Philadelphia have looked sharp in the attacking third, led by Tai Baribo, who has already netted 13 times and ranks second in the league’s goal-scoring charts. Defensively, they have also been outstanding, conceding only 21 goals — the best defensive record in the league.
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls play a high-tempo, physical style, but their away form has been poor. They have secured just one win in eleven away matches, keeping only three clean sheets along the way. The absence of a key defender further undermines the visitors’ chances. Historically, they have found this fixture difficult — they are without a win in their last 14 meetings with Philadelphia Union.
Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Prediction
Philadelphia Union are in excellent form at home and boast one of the league’s most efficient defences. With Tai Baribo leading the line, they should have enough firepower to secure the win. Given the visitors’ poor away record and notable absentees, the hosts are strongly favoured.