Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the UEFA Nations League match.
Poland's defeat to Portugal on Saturday (3:1) once again highlighted issues with their tactical structure under Michał Probierz. Croatia already dealt with this opponent in September (1:0), and the upcoming encounter could edge them closer to the Nations League playoffs.
Poland
At the Warsaw stadium, Poland conceded twice to Cristiano Ronaldo and André Silva by the 37th minute. Over the 90 minutes against the Portuguese, the team faced 3.01 xGA from 18 shots—they struggled to compete against top-tier opposition. It's clear that Michał Probierz will not find a solution to these issues in just a few days: introducing Jakub Kiwior and Kacper Urbanski into the starting lineup won't bring the needed balance.
Croatia
In this Nations League campaign, Croatia also suffered a defeat to Portugal (2:1), but they bounced back with victories over Poland and Scotland (2:1). At home against the Scots, they created a respectable 1.25 xG from 17 shots, while their opponents managed only 0.91 xG and nine attempts. On Tuesday, Croatia might start with Martin Erlić and Ante Budimir, though the squad already boasts considerable depth and flexibility.
Poland vs Croatia Prediction
A month ago in Osijek, Croatia secured three points thanks to Luka Modrić's strike after the break. In Warsaw, there won't be an abundance of dangerous chances, but the more skillful visitors are likely to capitalise on what they create.
