Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Championship match.
Low-scoring Preston North End host high-flying Blackburn Rovers in this Lancashire derby. The hosts need points to climb out of the bottom of the table, while the visitors aim to solidify their playoff spot. Who will emerge victorious?
Preston North End
Preston North End have struggled to create chances, tallying just 3.39 xG over five rounds. They’ve scored three goals, which aligns closely with their xG, yet their nickname "The Invincibles" is far from reality. Under new manager Paul Heckingbottom, they have managed to avoid defeat in two out of five matches. The situation is gradually improving; they secured a draw against Middlesbrough away, allowing only one goal despite facing 16 shots and an xGA of 1.64. However, it's worth noting that Middlesbrough have underperformed by 4.16 goals compared to their xG. This week, Preston advanced in the EFL Cup after an epic penalty shootout win over Fulham (16-15), which took a significant physical toll.
Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers had a break from the EFL Cup, having been eliminated from the previous round. The team continues to score freely in the Championship, sitting among the leaders with 11 points. Their most recent win was a 3:0 triumph over Bristol City at home, marking their largest margin of victory this season. Japanese forward Yuki Ohashi, who replaced Sammie Szmodics (now at Ipswich Town), scored twice, bringing his tally to four goals in five matches. Once again, Blackburn outperformed their expected goals, scoring two more than their 0.98 xG against Bristol City.
Preston North End vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction
Blackburn Rovers have taken all nine points from their home matches so far, against tougher opponents than Preston North End. While Preston managed to beat Luton Town at home, it's worth noting the disparity: Luton’s season has seen just three goals while Blackburn have notched up 12. Don't be surprised if Blackburn put three past Preston.
