Adam Williams presents his prediction for the NBA match.
The San Antonio Spurs have long been out of playoff contention and are merely seeing out the season without motivation. In their last head-to-head meeting, the Dallas Mavericks secured a victory even with a heavily depleted roster of just eight players. The Spurs will find it difficult to break their losing streak in this fixture, even against an injury-hit Mavericks side.
San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs have lost eight of their last ten games, and without Victor Wembanyama, their defence has completely fallen apart. In five of their last six games, they have conceded at least 127 points, twice allowing 140+. Their offensive struggles are also evident—averaging just 113.7 points per game (15th in the NBA). De'Aaron Fox has struggled to fill the leadership void, scoring 20+ points only three times in his last nine games. Devin Vassell has attempted to step up, but his impact has been limited, reaching 20 points in only three of his last 13 outings.
Dallas Mavericks
The Mavericks ended a five-game losing streak by defeating the San Antonio Spurs (133:129). Despite ongoing injury problems, they remain in the fight for a play-in spot. A standout performer in recent games has been Naji Marshall, who has scored 18+ points in five consecutive matches. Depth is also gradually improving, with P.J. Washington expected to return to the frontcourt (14 points, 8.1 rebounds per game). The Mavericks have dominated this matchup historically, with Spurs failing to win at home against them since 2020. Overall, they have won 14 of their last 15 meetings.
San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
The San Antonio Spurs are in complete disarray, whereas the Dallas Mavericks remain motivated and have a strong historical edge in this matchup. A cautious yet reliable option is backing the Mavericks with a +9.5 handicap.
