Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Nations League match.
San Marino have already caused a stir by claiming their first victory in 20 years, and another win this year would secure their promotion. Gibraltar, however, will certainly not agree to that outcome; just two years ago, they were playing in a higher league.
San Marino
The national team nestled within Italy made history alongside Liechtenstein, who are now at the bottom of the three-team table due to this fact. The victory was typical for matches between the footballing minnows, ending 1:0. San Marino lost to Gibraltar by the same scoreline in a game that was entirely even. The statistics bear this out, with both teams having 11 shots, 2 on target, and possession split evenly at 50%. Only Ethan Britto's strike in the 62nd minute decided the match in favour of the hosts. Following that game, San Marino played a friendly against Andorra (2:0).
Gibraltar
In addition to their encounter with San Marino, Gibraltar also played an unusually high-scoring match against Liechtenstein, netting two goals for the first time since 2019 (against Georgia, 2:3), but they also conceded two. The result was a draw instead of a win due to a missed penalty by the hosts in the 82nd minute and a goal by the Alpine side in the 104th minute.
San Marino vs Gibraltar Prediction
Gibraltar are unlikely to score two goals. As shown, this is an extremely rare occurrence. San Marino scoring two is an even more ancient phenomenon, last seen in 2012. We are certain we will witness a classic low-scoring game typical for these small national teams with a total under 2.5.
