Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Premier League match
The primary goal for both clubs this season is to stay in the Premier League. Everything else comes later. Therefore, this match will see an uncompromising battle for six points.
Southampton
Southampton need to redeem themselves for their performance in the first round. They managed to lose to Newcastle (0:1) despite gaining a numerical advantage in the 28th minute, only to concede a goal to the hosts. To be fair, they brought this goal upon themselves under pressure. In the second half, Southampton statistically resembled a top side, but despite 84% possession and 15 shots (5 on target), they achieved nothing. Their summer investments of €80 million have yet to pay off.
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest experienced a shock at the beginning of their match against Bournemouth due to a severe injury to Danilo Santos. However, this situation did not affect their resolve, and they managed 14 shots, including 8 on target, but scored only once. They couldn’t hold onto their lead either. This is a general weakness for Nottingham Forest. In the match against Southampton, the team can rely on set pieces. Their aerial game is much stronger than their ground play.
Southampton - Nottingham Forest Prediction
In the 21st century, the clubs have met six times, with each match ending in a victory for one of the teams, including the last meeting (4:3) in favour of Nottingham Forest. Both teams scored fewer goals than they could have in the previous round. The expected goals (xG) values were 0.94 for Southampton and 1.28 for Nottingham Forest, so they should create a significant number of dangerous chances again. Additionally, both teams are far from perfect in defence, making a "Both Teams to Score" bet the most likely outcome.