Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Euro 2024 match.
Spain
After defeating Georgia (4:1) in the Round of 16, Spain didn't look as confident in the quarter-finals. After 90 minutes of regular time, the Spanish side created only 0.46 xG. After Olmo, who came on as a substitute at the start of the game for the injured Pedri, opened the score in the 51st minute, Spain retreated and tried to hold on to their minimal advantage. They scored the winning goal in extra time (2:1).
A serious problem for the Spanish side in the upcoming match will be the suspension of two key defenders: Le Normand and Carvajal will miss the game. Of course, there are replacements, but Spain will be forced to retreat to avoid giving their opponents' fast counterattack to develop.
France
France, on the other hand, have not scored in 5 games at Euro 2024: they have Mbappé's penalty and 2 own goals from their opponents. Against Portugal in the quarter-finals (the game won on penalty shootout), France created only 0.92 xG from 20 shots in 120 minutes and didn't have a single dangerous attempt on goal. It is likely that Mbappé will again feel discomfort due to the protective mask in the semi-finals - it limits the functionality of the French captain.
Spain – France prediction
Both Spain and France have reached the Euro 2024 semi-finals unbeaten, with Furia Roja’s powerful attack making them slight favorites. On the other hand, France, unlike their opponents, have no injured players, and their strong bench could turn the game around.
The star-studded semi-final will be played in a closed style, as both teams fear each other. Spain and France will score a maximum of 2 goals within 90 minutes.
