Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Euro 2024 match.
Spain
Spain have been performing perfectly in the attacking actions in June, scoring 13 goals in 3 games. Morata scored in the friendly game versus Northern Ireland (5:1) and in the first round match versus Croatia (3:0). Spain easily reached 2.11 xG. If Grimaldo, López or Joselu can participate in this game, the offensive line will have even more options.
Italy
Italy had 1.67 xG with 66% ball possession and 16 shots against Albania. They made mistakes anyway. The goal Bajrami scored in the 1st minute only proved it. Retegui or Raspadori can play in this game as they can be more useful in defensive actions, unlike Scamacca. Italy won’t have too much time ahead in this match.
Spain – Italy prediction
Spain and Italy took the points they needed so much in the first games. Now they can think about the knockout phase. The ones who manage to win this match will qualify for the Round of 16.
Spain haven’t lost their 5 consecutive head-to-head games against Italy. Spain are supposed to win, but let’s avoid the risk.
