Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Champions League match.
For Sturm Graz, the clash against Girona offers a chance to redeem themselves for their lacklustre performance in the Champions League, where they have yet to pick up a point. On their home turf, the team will aim to put up a fight, particularly given their excellent form in their national league. For Girona, a victory in the upcoming match presents an opportunity to climb higher as they visit a less formidable opponent, offering them plenty of chances to secure a win.
Sturm Graz
The Austrian side have been modest in attack in the Champions League. Over four matches, Sturm Graz have scored just one goal and generated 2.23 xG—one of the poorest figures in the tournament. In their home game against Club Brugge (0:1), they failed to deliver any serious shots on target, finishing the match with an xG of 0.4. However, in the Austrian Bundesliga, their fortunes are considerably better. In the latest round, they demolished Austria Klagenfurt 7:0 and confidently lead the table with a five-point margin.
Girona
Meanwhile, the Catalan side have shown unconvincing form on the road in the Champions League with two losses in two matches and no goals scored (0:4 against PSV Eindhoven and 0:1 against Paris Saint-Germain). Over four matches, Girona have created just 5.1 xG, half of which came in their match against Feyenoord (2:3). On the other hand, in La Liga, Girona are showing progress with three consecutive wins and a total goal difference of 9:4. They are gradually adapting to the absence of key players.
Sturm Graz vs Girona Prediction
The game promises to be cautious, especially given both teams' attacking struggles on the European stage. Sturm Graz will aim to protect their goal, while Girona will look to capitalise on the individual brilliance of their key players. The Spanish side appear to be the classier team, finding their form as the season progresses, and they have a chance to narrowly outplay their opponents. Without taking too much risk, we'll go with a safe handicap of 0.
