Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Cincinnati match.
Taylor Fritz is chasing his first title of the season in North America and will open his Cincinnati campaign against Lorenzo Sonego. The American is comfortable on home soil, while his opponent has historically struggled against top-five players.
Taylor Fritz
In 2025, Fritz has been dominant against opponents outside the top 20, winning 32 matches and losing just 10. On hard courts, he has a flawless record against Lorenzo Sonego — six straight wins on quick surfaces, including a recent victory in Miami (7:6, 6:3). In his Cincinnati opener, Fritz eased past Emilio Nava (6:4, 6:4), making two unanswered breaks and firing 13 aces.
Lorenzo Sonego
Sonego, meanwhile, beat Zizou Bergs (6:3, 7:6) in the first round, but his opponent effectively handed him the result with just 48% first-serve accuracy and five double faults. The Italian’s hard-court record is underwhelming — 49% wins over his career (83-86) and eight defeats in 17 matches this season. His record against top-five players is even more telling — just two wins from 17 encounters, both back in 2021, followed by 12 straight losses.
Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction
Given Fritz’s superiority in their head-to-head on hard courts and his powerful serve, the American should have little trouble dealing with Sonego, whose form on this surface remains inconsistent.
