Adam Williams presents his prediction for the NHL match.
he famous Canadian rivalry known as the "Battle of Ontario" awaits us on Wednesday night. The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this crucial matchup riding a three-game winning streak in regulation. The Ottawa Senators, on the other hand, capped off last weekend with a successful road trip to the Boston Bruins (3:2 OT).
Toronto Maple Leafs
It may seem odd, but during the Maple Leafs' winning streak, they've scored only one goal at even strength. They've rocketed up the special teams' effectiveness rankings, but their 5-on-5 play is less impressive. Auston Matthews' injury (5+6) has diversified their power play approach—now the special teams don't rely on setting up their main sniper, resulting in a threat from all five players on the ice. Against the Ottawa Senators, this factor might not be crucial—the visitors average just over eight penalty minutes per game. Meanwhile, without Matthews, the Maple Leafs weaken themselves in all other situations. The last time the hosts generated more than two expected goals at even strength was against the St. Louis Blues on November 3 (2:4).
Ottawa Senators
The Senators' victory over the Boston Bruins will be long remembered by their fans. Linus Ullmark's spectacular save in overtime led to a scoring counterattack by Brady Tkachuk (8+10). It was one of the most impressive moments not only for the Senators but of the entire season. Successes like these typically inspire teams to greater achievements. Especially since the visitors are well-organised, ranking in the top 10 in shot share (54.7%) and expected goals (52.2%) at 5-on-5.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction
Even last year's struggling Ottawa Senators managed to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs three times as underdogs. We wouldn't overvalue the Maple Leafs' current winning streak, as they've defeated weaker opponents with losing records. A win for the Senators in this intense Canadian clash is a very good option.
