Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Major League Soccer match.
Toronto
The situation at BMO Field is no better than elsewhere—arguably worse. Of the 13 points earned this season, only five have come from home fixtures. In seven home matches, Toronto have managed just one win—a 2:0 result against fellow strugglers D.C. United. More concerning still, they have failed to score in five of those home games.
Nashville SC
Nashville SC currently sit fourth in the Eastern Conference, thanks largely to their strong home form, where they have collected 20 of their 24 points. Their away form, however, paints a different picture: just one win and one draw from five road games. Although Nashville SC have not travelled often so far, their away performances have been disappointing. They suffered defeats against mid-table Eastern teams New York Red Bulls (0:2) and Charlotte (1:2), and were comprehensively beaten 3:0 by sixth-placed Western side Seattle Sounders. Against Atlanta United, who sit just below Toronto in the standings, Nashville SC were held to a 1:1 draw.
Toronto vs Nashville SC Prediction
Does this mean Nashville SC completely lose their edge away from Tennessee? And can Toronto realistically beat them? It’s not that simple. Last season, despite finishing third from bottom in the East, Nashville SC managed to beat the higher-ranked Toronto in Ontario (2:1). The visitors should still be capable of securing at least a draw. Home and away patterns, while significant, rarely occur by coincidence.