Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Nations League match.
Turkey's impressive performances in the current Nations League campaign give the team a strong chance of reaching the top division. Against a solid competitor like Wales, the Turkish side will be looking to maintain defensive solidity and restrict the Welsh from creating chances.
Turkey
Following a draw in Cardiff (0:0), Turkey have secured three consecutive victories in the Nations League. In October, they overcame Montenegro (1:0) and Iceland (4:2), amassing 6.02 xG over those 180 minutes. Against the Scandinavians, the team's post-break scoring surge played to their advantage, but replicating that against Wales' tight marking will be a challenge. Notably, Kenan Yıldız will miss out due to yellow card accumulation, and his absence will impact Turkey's offensive efforts.
Wales
Throughout this Nations League campaign, Wales have stuck to their standard game plan, focusing on counter-attacking. Matches involving the Welsh have averaged two goals. Against Montenegro (1:0), they maintained their lead after Harry Wilson converted a penalty and allowed just 0.26 xGA without any shots on target against them. In Kayseri, Wales are unlikely to deviate from their strategy and are expected to play with a strong defensive focus.
Turkey vs Wales Prediction
It seems neither Turkey nor Wales are prepared to take risks in the second leg, and the pattern of their first meeting (0:0) could repeat. We recommend taking a reliable Total Under, as both competitors are likely to prioritise careful defensive play.
