Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Colombian Primera A match.
Unión Magdalena
In the previous round, Unión Magdalena faced Atlético Junior and delivered a dismal performance. Not only were they thrashed 1:4, but they also conceded the final two goals despite having a numerical advantage. During the thirty minutes following the sending-off of Jermein Peña, they generated just 0.42 xG and managed only one clear goalscoring chance. This was nothing short of a collapse.
Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín have lost their last two matches, yet in both instances, they were statistically superior. Against Boyacá Chicó (0:2), they produced 1.01 xG against 0.68 xG. In their following encounter with Envigado (3:4), they were reduced to nine men after collecting three red cards. Remarkably, even with this disadvantage, Independiente Medellín found the net twice and came close to stealing the win. It is worth noting that the players sent off were not key figures in the squad, so their absence is unlikely to affect the upcoming fixture.
Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín Prediction
The run of misfortune for Independiente Medellín is bound to end at some point. Unión Magdalena do not appear capable of posing significant problems, which gives Independiente Medellín a realistic chance of claiming all three points away from home.