Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Brazilian Serie A match.
Vasco da Gama recently brought an end to an eight-match winless run across all competitions with a 3:1 victory over Alagoano in the Copa do Brasil. This marked the first win under Philippe Coutinho’s leadership. However, looking ahead to the upcoming fixture, Atlético Mineiro appear to be in stronger form, maintaining a more consistent level of match sharpness.
Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama have failed to register a win in their last four league outings, collecting just two points from a possible twelve. As a result, they have slipped into the relegation zone. The gap to 16th-placed Vitória stands at three points, and given their current struggles, closing that gap will be a significant challenge. Vasco da Gama have conceded 23 goals in 16 Série A matches—only three teams have a worse defensive record. Even against third-tier side Alagoano, they conceded once, despite allowing just 0.58 xGA and facing only one shot on target.
Atlético Mineiro
Last weekend, the team secured a 2:1 win over Red Bull Bragantino, halting a three-match losing streak. Atlético Mineiro currently sit four points outside the Copa Libertadores qualification places. Although they expended considerable effort in their Copa do Brasil campaign—eventually being eliminated by Flamengo with a score of 3:2 on aggregate—they showed admirable resilience throughout the tie. Atlético Mineiro continue to demonstrate their capacity to compete at a high level.
Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction
Vasco da Gama’s poor league form is likely to play a decisive role in this encounter. The visitors are in a good position to come away with points, and a double chance bet on them provides a sensible level of security.
