Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the CONMEBOL Sudamericana match.
At present, Independiente del Valle are in a commanding position to progress to the Round of 16. After a dominant 4:0 win at home, they are already turning their attention to a potential next-round encounter against Mushuc Runa. Nevertheless, the second leg still awaits in Brazil, and losing concentration at this stage would be a serious misstep.
Vasco da Gama
The downturn for Vasco da Gama began back in June. Many hoped that a month-long break would provide a much-needed reset, but the team has failed to bounce back. In their last three outings, they have managed just one draw alongside two defeats. The first leg in Ecuador was a complete collapse. Their key defender, Lucas Piton, was dismissed in the 12th minute, and Independiente del Valle created an xG of 4.91.
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle currently sit top of the Ecuadorian league with confidence, affording them the luxury of prioritising the Copa Sudamericana. Importantly, core players at Independiente del Valle who led the charge against Vasco da Gama were given a breather. Claudio Spinelli remained on the bench, and Patrik Mercado featured only briefly, clocking in 22 minutes.
Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle Prediction
Despite the hosts being considered favourites, most likely on the assumption that the visitors might ease off, we still see Independiente del Valle as capable of achieving a positive result. Vasco da Gama are simply out of form, and Independiente del Valle have enough quality to capitalise.
