Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Bundesliga match.
Both Wolfsburg and Freiburg have fallen short of expectations as the Bundesliga season enters its final stretch. However, Freiburg still have a realistic chance of securing a place in the main draw of the Europa League. In contrast, Wolfsburg are enduring a difficult spell, having failed to win any of their last six league matches — a series of injuries has prevented the coaching staff from fielding a stable lineup.
Wolfsburg
While Wolfsburg have shown some attacking spark recently — scoring twice against both Leipzig (2:3) and Mainz 05 (2:2) — it hasn’t been enough to reverse their poor form. Since the start of March, the team have conceded 11.09 xGA, while managing seven goals from chances valued at 10.53 xG. In the draw with Mainz 05, they managed to earn a late point, though Mattias Svanberg, who had earlier returned to the pitch as a substitute, became the seventh player added to their injury list. Over the course of the season, Wolfsburg have now been involved in 18 Bundesliga matches featuring over 2.5 goals.
Freiburg
Freiburg approach this match on the back of five consecutive Bundesliga games that have each seen over 2.5 goals. The squad demonstrated strong resilience in wins over Borussia Mönchengladbach (2:1) and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (3:2), creating 3.87 xG across those two fixtures — a statistic bettered by only three other clubs in the same period. Their current league standings keep Europa League qualification within their sights and even leave the door slightly ajar for a Champions League spot, with just one point separating them from fourth-placed RB Leipzig.
Wolfsburg vs Freiburg Prediction
The reverse fixture between Wolfsburg and Freiburg saw a combined 38 shots on goal and ended in a 2:3 scoreline. With both teams' final league ambitions on the line, this rematch is set to be a high-stakes, high-energy encounter.
