Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Bundesliga match.
Despite some inconsistent performances in recent weeks, St. Pauli, newly promoted to the league, remain comfortably above the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Wolfsburg are pushing for a return to European competition, despite a string of injuries.
Wolfsburg
Since the turn of the year, Wolfsburg have suffered only two defeats in ten matches—both against top Bundesliga sides, such as Bayern Munich (2:3) and RB Leipzig (0:1). Ralph Hasenhüttl's tactical influence is becoming evident, with his team learning to grind out results efficiently. Against Werder Bremen (2:1) last week, Patrick Wimmer scored twice early, allowing Wolfsburg to control the game comfortably. At home, Wolfsburg have been potent, netting 22 goals in 12 matches—a tally only six Bundesliga sides have bettered this season.
St. Pauli
Since January, St. Pauli have earned only seven points in nine league matches; only Heidenheim and Werder Bremen (both with five points) have performed worse. Most worrying is their lack of attacking efficiency. Across their last four league defeats, St. Pauli have failed to score, generating a total of just 2.11 xG across 360 minutes—the worst tally in the Bundesliga over that period.
Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Prediction
Wolfsburg dominated the reverse fixture in Hamburg, creating more clear-cut chances (1.10–0.83 in xG). Given their superior firepower and St. Pauli’s offensive struggles, the home side should claim all three points here.
