Arsenal vs PSG Betting Odds and Prediction for the Champions League match

October’s European football promises to be rich with marquee matchups, and the first of these is PSG’s trip to London. The Parisians have never defeated Arsenal and come into this fixture as the underdogs. Both teams remain unbeaten this season and will keenly safeguard their records. 

Arsenal vs. PSG: who will win?

Arsenal

3/4

Draw

57/20

PSG

19/5

The match between Arsenal and Paris Saint-Germain will take place on October 1 at 8:00 PM at Emirates Stadium in London.

Here’s our article about the upcoming match, including tournament dynamics, team readiness, predictions, and betting tips.

Arsenal vs PSG Betting Odds

Arsenal have maintained an unbeaten record in their home Champions League matches. In last year's campaign, they won all three home games with an aggregate score of 12:0. PSG, in contrast, managed only one point on the road against AC Milan, Newcastle United, and Borussia Dortmund, scoring just three times. Betting on PSG’s underwhelming goal tally seems sensible — betting sites offer 13/20 on their individual total under 1.

Arsenal

The London side started the season strongly but lost their main creative force during the international break — Martin Ødegaard suffered an ankle injury. The absence of the Norwegian playmaker resulted in lackluster performances against Tottenham Hotspur and Atalanta. A goal from Gabriel Magalhães, off a corner by Bukayo Saka, secured victory in the North London derby, while Arsenal’s Champions League campaign started with a goalless draw, managing just two shots on target. In Ødegaard’s absence, Saka has become the team's primary creative outlet with five assists in six league matches.

Despite a significant number of goals — only Manchester City and Chelsea have scored more in the Premier League — calling Arsenal a dominant team is premature. Against weaker opponents, they secure points through sheer class, but against similarly matched teams, Arsenal tend to play defensively and cede possession.

A prime example is the second half against Atalanta: the Londoners conceded possession, allowed the Bergamo side to take five shots, and even gave away a penalty. If not for David Raya’s brilliant performance, Atalanta’s 1.58 xG would have resulted in Arsenal losing their first Champions League match. Yet, even with a pragmatic approach this season, Arsenal often exceed five corners per match. The trend is solid enough to bet on against PSG.

Corners: Arsenal Over 5.5

Bonus £30

Bet

7/10

Arsenal five last matches

Arsenal tend to perform best in the first halves — only against Aston Villa did they score the winning goal after the break. Another confident bet for them is to score in the first half.

First half: Arsenal Over 0.5

Bonus £30

Bet

7/10

PSG

Luis Enrique seems unphased by the departure of Kylian Mbappe — in the league, they have only scored fewer than three goals against Stade de Reims (1:1). This away match is the only one where the Parisians have dropped points so far. In their Champions League clash, they managed to take three points against Girona, although it wasn't just due to Girona goalkeeper Paulo Gazzaniga's error; PSG controlled the entire game, taking 26 shots on goal and accumulating 1.68 xG.

Luis Enrique’s main attacking force today consists of Bradley Barcola, João Neves, and Ousmane Dembélé: Barcola has six goals, Neves has five assists, and Dembélé has seven goal contributions. However, Ousmane did not travel to London — due to a conflict, Luis Enrique excluded the player from the squad for the Arsenal match. This makes the trip to the Emirates very challenging for PSG — odds for a guest victory are 15/4 and even a goal is priced at an unusually high 1/2

Paris Saint-Germain five last matches

In the Champions League, PSG do not look as formidable as in the league — with only two wins in six away games. They have never beaten Arsenal — they have drawn twice in the Champions League and lost twice in friendly matches. The last meeting was a thrashing in 2018 in Singapore, where the spectators saw five goals from Arsenal and only one from PSG. Interestingly, PSG have only lost one match by a two-goal margin in 2024.

PSG (+1.5)

Bonus £30

Bet

2/5

Arsenal vs PSG Prediction

Against top-tier opponents, Mikel Arteta prefers pragmatic football and is unlikely to open up the game against PSG — especially considering the Parisians' rapid flanks and Luis Enrique's affinity for creating goal-scoring opportunities on counterattacks. Despite the high level of talent on display, The game is more likely to be strategic and cautious rather than a high-scoring shootout.

A draw away would suit PSG — their fixture list has not been kind, but it is feasible for them to pick up points in home games against PSV Eindhoven and Stuttgart and away to Red Bull Salzburg. Taking risks in London without their main central defender and the goalkeeper — Gianluigi Donnarumma has already returned to full training but was not included in the squad for the Rennes game — seems unwise. Especially given that Arsenal have scored seven goals in three home matches.

For Arsenal, PSG are one of the last top-level opponents in the group stage, and considering the prolific form of PSG's forwards, Arteta is more likely to play defensively. Even a single goal in such a match could decide the outcome. A bet on the total under looks logical here, especially as bookmakers provide good odds for it.

Under 2.5

Bonus £50

Bet

11/10