2024 US Open Winner Odds and Favourites
Will Djokovic and Gauff defend their titles?
The final Grand Slam tournament of the year takes place from August 26 to September 8. The participants compete for a record-breaking $75 million in prize money, the largest in tennis history. For comparison, Wimbledon this year offered $64 million, while the French Open and Australian Open each had $58 million. In the U.S., the men's and women's singles champions will each receive $3.6 million. Below, you will find information about the favorites and some betting options.
2024 US Open Men’s Singles Betting Odds
The favourites of the men’s singles tournament in the United States are quite usual for a Grand Slam tournament. Novak Djokovic is the main favourite to win the title.
The Top Three Favorites in the Men's Draw
Novak Djokovic
For the reigning US Open champion, the season has been mixed by his own high standards. The main achievement was a long-awaited victory at the Paris Olympics, but no Grand Slam tournament was won. There are also concerns about a meniscus injury and the surgery he underwent in mid-summer.
The main contenders who could stand in the way of what would be his record 25th Grand Slam title and fifth US Open trophy — likely Alcaraz, Sinner, and 2021 champion Medvedev — are all situated on the opposite side of the draw. Djokovic could still potentially face in the semifinals No. 4 seed Alexander Zverev or No. 8 Casper Ruud, both of whom have previously played in US Open finals. However, given his undefeated 4-0 record against them in five-set matches, Djokovic is in a strong position.
After a straightforward victory over Moldovan qualifier Radu Albot (6-2, 6-2, 6-4), Djokovic not only set another record with his 78th win on the main showcourt at Flushing Meadows but also further increased his chances of winning the tournament.
Carlos Alcaraz
Alcaraz, the 2022 US Open champion, added the French Open and Wimbledon titles to his collection earlier this summer, along with an Olympic silver medal. Despite a surprising first-round loss to Gaël Monfils in Cincinnati, his only hard-court tune-up event, it's difficult to imagine the 21-year-old won't elevate his game once the US Open begins.
The No. 3 seed, has emerged as a master of the best-of-five-sets format, boasting an impressive 42 wins in his last 45 Slam matches. His odds took a slight hit after he found himself in the same half of the draw as Sinner for the third consecutive Grand Slam tournament. However, he has already secured Grand Slam victories against both Djokovic and Sinner. If he manages to win the US Open this year, Alcaraz would become the first man ever to win five Grand Slam titles before reaching the age of 22.
Jannik Sinner
Sinner, the reigning Australian Open champion and current world No. 1, had to skip the Olympics due to tonsillitis but now seems to have fully recovered. He captured the title in Cincinnati earlier this week, after reaching the quarterfinals at the Canadian Open. The 23-year-old's successful run in Ohio included victories over Andrey Rublev and Alexander Zverev, culminating in a 7-6, 6-2 win against Tiafoe in the final.
Facing persistent hip issues, along with the controversy of a positive doping test, and an exceptionally challenging draw this year, his road to securing his first US Open title could involve an incredibly tough sequence of matches, possibly requiring victories over the last three champions—Medvedev, Alcaraz, and Djokovic—one after the other.
2024 US Open Women’s Singles Betting Odds
Defending US Open champion Coco Gauff is currently ranked third among the top contenders for this year's title. According to bookmakers, Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek are considered stronger favorites. Below are the odds for each of the three players to win the tournament:
The Top Three Favorites in the Men's Draw
Aryna Sabalenka
After a French Open quarterfinal loss to Mirra Andreeva ended her streak of six consecutive Slam semifinals, a shoulder injury forced her to miss Wimbledon and the Olympics. Despite these setbacks, she has an impressive 16-3 record at the US Open over the last three years as the defending runner-up.
She’s also won consecutive titles at the other hard-court Grand Slam and dominated Świątek and Jessica Pegula in Cincinnati without dropping a set, further solidifying her status as the clear favorite.
Iga Świątek
Given the incredibly high standards she's set, it seems like the world No. 1 is going through a rough patch right now. Although she's typically as dominant on clay as Rafael Nadal, Świątek was upset by Zheng at the 2024 Olympics and has lost three of her last 12 matches—a rare downturn for her.
Her side of the bracket is also particularly challenging, with four of the top six seeds. Still, even on an off day, the five-time Grand Slam champion is likely to be at least the second favorite in almost any tournament she competes in.
Coco Gauff
Between mid-July 2023 and the start of Wimbledon 2024, Gauff achieved a remarkable 59-14 record, winning four titles and reaching the No. 2 world ranking. But her momentum slowed afterward, and she has since posted just a 4-4 record.
Her issues began with a fourth-round loss to Emma Navarro at Wimbledon, and she has continued to struggle with double-faults in her losses in Toronto and Cincinnati. Gauff now looks to find her rhythm again by returning to the place where she had her biggest success in 2023.
US Open: One of the Most Unpredictable Tournaments in Tennis
While the favorites are clearly identified and their chances bolstered by statistics and current form, the US Open remains a prime venue for unexpected victories. Over the past 15 years, 18 players have won their first and only Grand Slam titles, with 10 of those victories occurring at the US Open. The remaining eight titles were distributed among the Australian Open, French Open, and Wimbledon. Notably, the US Open has seen a first-time champion—whether in the men's or women's draw, or both in 2021—for seven consecutive years.
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