Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the FIFA Club World Cup match.
Heading into the final round of the group stage, Atlético Madrid find themselves in a difficult situation — even a win might not guarantee a place in the knockout round. Their opponents, Botafogo, have exceeded expectations with a composed and confident campaign so far, highlighted by a stunning victory over Paris Saint-Germain that has left them on the verge of qualification.
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid are in desperate need of a convincing win, but after their heavy 0:4 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain, even a 3:1 result against Seattle Sounders FC has done little to ease concerns about their defensive fragility. Across their two FIFA Club World Cup matches, the squad have allowed 32 shots in total, with 15 on target. Moreover, they have conceded in four of their last five fixtures. Problems persist in attack as well. Despite scoring three against Seattle Sounders FC, the squad’s primary attackers — Alexander Sorloth, Julián Alvarez, and Giuliano Simeone — have yet to open their accounts in the tournament.
Botafogo
Botafogo have impressed with their discipline and tactical organisation. In their match against Paris Saint-Germain, they maintained a compact shape and limited their opponents to very few chances (xGA of just 0.54). Over two games, the team have conceded only once, underlining their ability to contain even top-tier opposition. Offensively, they have been highly efficient, converting three goals from a combined xG of just 1.19.
Atlético Madrid vs Botafogo Prediction
Atlético Madrid will have no choice but to commit bodies forward, which could leave them vulnerable to counter-attacks. However, given their current issues with pressing and lack of sharpness in the final third, breaking down the disciplined defence of Botafogo may prove extremely challenging. Having already shut out Paris Saint-Germain, the squad should be capable of at least earning a draw — a result that would be sufficient to see them through to the knockout round.
