Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the 2026 World Cup Qualification match.
Australia are fighting for a direct spot at the World Cup via the third stage of qualification, but three consecutive draws have significantly complicated their position in the group. Meanwhile, Indonesia have unexpectedly entered the race and, with a favourable outcome, could at least secure a place in the fourth qualifying round.
Australia
Australia have managed just one win in six matches throughout the tournament. They have been averaging only one goal per game. However, their defence remains solid, conceding just five goals overall, with more than one defensive error occurring only in the 2:2 draw against Bahrain. Australia play pragmatic football, with low-scoring matches being the norm—four of their games have featured two goals or fewer. The squad no longer boasts attacking talents of the level of Mark Viduka or Tim Cahill, with most players representing modest clubs. As a result, expectations for high-quality attacking play should be tempered.
Indonesia
Indonesia have displayed well-organised football, stunning many with their 2:0 victory over Saudi Arabia. They rely on a compact defence and a densely packed midfield, rarely committing to counter-attacks. They have conceded just five goals in five matches (excluding the game against group leaders Japan). The Indonesians have already shown they can hold off strong opponents, securing a goalless draw against Australia in the first meeting.
Australia vs Indonesia Prediction
Australia remain favourites, but this will be a tough match. Indonesia will set up a deep defensive block and withstand the hosts’ pressure, just as they did in the reverse fixture. Australia struggle with finishing, and their attacking displays in this campaign have been far from convincing. Therefore, we’re backing a bet on under 2.5 goals.
