Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the League One match.
The hosts come into this game unbeaten in seven matches in regulation time, though too many of those have ended in draws. The visitors, after a bright start, have sharply lost momentum and arrive on the back of three straight defeats in all competitions. Given the contrasting form, the favourite is obvious, but Bolton should not expect an easy ride.
Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers have been consistent play-off contenders in recent seasons, but often stumble at the decisive stages. Their start to the new campaign has been stuttering: one win, four draws and one defeat in the league. The main issue has been finishing — Bolton create chances but fail to kill games off. Even so, they remain resilient: seven matches unbeaten in regulation and a solid pre-season. At home, Bolton play on the front foot and almost always score, although their defensive record is far from watertight (4:2 goal difference).
AFC Wimbledon
Wimbledon returned to League One through the League Two play-offs and began well, winning three of their first five matches. But things have since unravelled: defeats to Reading (1:2), Bradford (2:3) and Stevenage (1:5). Defence is their weak spot, prone to errors in positional play. On the road, they are unreliable, and history against Bolton is no comfort either: in their last six meetings, Wimbledon have lost twice and drawn four times.
Bolton Wanderers vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction
Form and statistics point towards the hosts. Bolton rarely lose at home, while Wimbledon are in crisis. That said, the visitors’ attack has teeth — they have scored even in defeat. A “both teams to score” scenario looks likely, and backing it up with a double chance on the hosts adds value.