Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying match.
Brazil
Vinícius Júnior's excellent performances for Real Madrid at the end of last season may have raised expectations for a Brazil side that is in a transitional phase. In the group stage, Brazil performed well, securing five points from three matches, with an outstanding display against Paraguay (4:1), creating 4.22 xG. However, in the quarter-finals against Uruguay (0:1 after a penalty shootout), they missed the presence of Vinicius Jr. (suspended), and the combination of Raphael Dias Belloli and Rodrygo Silva de Goes could not compensate for Endrick Felipe's underperformance—the team's attack relies heavily on Real Madrid's number seven.
Ecuador
Ecuador's unexpected start to the Copa America with a loss to Venezuela (1:2) did not prevent them from reaching the playoffs, where they put up a strong fight against Argentina (1:2 after a penalty shootout). Against Argentina, the team created 0.98 xG from open play, and team captain Enner Valencia missed a crucial penalty.
Brazil - Ecuador Prediction
The last time Brazil lost to Ecuador was 20 years ago during the 2006 World Cup qualifiers, after which they have won eight out of 12 encounters. In Curitiba, the favourites will aim to make up for their poor showing in the Copa America—fans are expecting a breakthrough.
