Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the English Premier League match.
With six matches remaining in the season, Brentford trail Brighton by five points. Brighton sit at the bottom of the top half of the English Premier League standings and still hold a theoretical chance of qualifying for European competition. This upcoming fixture between two mid-table neighbours is likely to feature an open style of play, especially given that both Thomas Frank and Fabian Hürzeler favour high pressing systems.
Brentford
Since the international break, Brentford have failed to register a single win. During a tough run that included fixtures against Newcastle United (1:2), Chelsea (0:0), and Arsenal (1:1), the team focused on a more defensive approach. Nevertheless, Brentford have scored 30 goals in 16 home matches — only Tottenham Hotspur (33) have netted more outside the top four. Notably, Bryan Mbeumo (16+5) and Yoane Wissa (15+2) are enjoying breakout campaigns, both ranking among the Premier League’s top six scorers.
Brighton
As for Brighton’s attacking output, four players have already surpassed nine goal contributions: Yankuba Minteh (5+4), Kaoru Mitoma (7+3), Danny Welbeck (8+4), and João Pedro (10+6). Alongside Wolverhampton Wanderers, Brighton are among the most entertaining sides in the league, having seen Total Over 2.5 goals in 23 of their 32 matches. Away from home, the team have accumulated 25.74 xG — the eighth-highest tally in the league — and scored 28 goals, with only two clubs recording more.
Brentford vs Brighton Prediction
Unlike the reverse fixture earlier this season, which ended goalless, neither Brentford nor Brighton are constrained by their position in the standings. Both teams are free to push forward aggressively. A high-scoring contest is anticipated, and backing Total Over 2.5 goals looks a solid option.
