Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the World Cup 2026 qualifying match.
The Colombian national team lost in the previous round to Uruguay (2:3) and will now seek redemption in front of their home fans. Ecuador consistently show steady results and continue their fight for a place in the upper part of the table, but historically, they struggle in away matches.
Colombia
At home, Colombia perform confidently, having secured four wins and one draw. On average, in front of their own fans, they score 2.2 goals and have only conceded more than one goal once—against Uruguay (2:2). Key players include Luis Díaz (4 goals), James Rodríguez (2+4), and goalkeeper Camilo Vargas, who has kept four clean sheets. In head-to-head matches on their home ground, Colombia have been unbeaten in five games, winning four of them.
Ecuador
Ecuador maintain a firm position in the qualification zone thanks to a robust defence—conceding only 4 goals in 10 games. However, their performance drops significantly in away matches: three goals conceded (0.6 on average) and two goals scored (0.4 on average) in five encounters. They have only won once, against weak Bolivia (2:1). Against other opponents, they have played defensively, resulting in low-scoring matches—with only one out of five games having a total over 2.5.
Colombia vs Ecuador Prediction
Colombia consistently show high performance and confidence at home, while Ecuador typically struggle away. Considering the difference in home and away performance, as well as Colombia's attacking strength, we predict a home win with the total under 2.5.
