Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Bundesliga match.
Freiburg are on the verge of securing a European spot, which could lead to squad depth issues next season. However, ahead of their clash with Werder Bremen, the hosts are considered favourites, as they are on a run of clean-sheet victories, while Bremen are struggling to create chances.
Freiburg
In February, Freiburg defeated Bochum, Heidenheim, and St. Pauli (all 1:0), comfortably overcoming lower-table sides. Their home record is among the best in the Bundesliga—22 points from 10 matches, ranking fourth in home form. Defensively, they are solid, with an xGA (29.44) second only to Bayer Leverkusen (24.74) and Bayern Munich (16.33).
Werder Bremen
Werder have picked up just four points from their last five matches, scoring the same number of goals. Only Holstein Kiel (2) and Heidenheim (0) have been worse in this period. In their previous game against Hoffenheim (1:3), Bremen conceded three goals in 35 minutes, allowing 1.40 xGA and seven shots on target. Even with Marco Friedl returning, they will struggle in transitions, especially with key midfielder Jens Stage still recovering from injury.
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction
Since the 2022/23 season, Freiburg have won four of their last five meetings with Werder, including a 1:0 victory in the first round. The visitors lack the tactical discipline to challenge Freiburg away from home, making the hosts the safer bet.
